Why has Bitcoin outperformed gold by 23% since the start of the US-Iran war?


Bitcoin markets are rising sharply as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East begin to ease. Investors are closely tracking price movements in both Bitcoin and gold during the ongoing struggle.

Traditional safe havens are usually useful in times of war. However, recent market action indicates an impressive divergence between the two assets. Since late February, Bitcoin has performed significantly better than gold.

Here’s why Bitcoin has outperformed gold since the war between the US and Iran began

Since February 28, when US-Israeli strikes targeted Iranian infrastructure, the cryptocurrency has made steady gains. the BTC price increased From around $66,000 to trading near $72,700 this week. This represents an increase of about 33% during the conflict period.

In comparison, gold fell approximately 2% over the same time frame. Prices fell from around $4,400 per ounce to below $4,300 in recent sessions. At one point, gold briefly fell below $4,250 during early trading activity.

Gold vs. Bitcoin: Why is Bitcoin outperforming gold by 23% since the start of the war between the United States and Iran?Gold vs. Bitcoin: Why is Bitcoin outperforming gold by 23% since the start of the war between the United States and Iran?
Source: Yahoo.com

From its all-time high, gold is now down approximately 25%. Analysts estimate that the decline has erased more than $10 trillion from the market value of precious metals. Silver also fell sharply, with losses approaching 50% of peak levels.

Bitcoin’s relative strength has surprised many traditional market participants. Some traders are now describing Bitcoin as behaving like a digital hedge during geopolitical stress.

Macro forces are reshaping the performance of Bitcoin and gold

Bitcoin and gold are affected by larger macroeconomic trends differently. The US dollar was stable on the back of rising Treasury yields. An increase in yields usually puts pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold.

Gold vs. Bitcoin: Why is Bitcoin outperforming gold by 23% since the start of the war between the United States and Iran?Gold vs. Bitcoin: Why is Bitcoin outperforming gold by 23% since the start of the war between the United States and Iran?
Source: SosoValue data

ETF flows highlight ongoing capital turnover. From March 16 to March 20, Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows totaling $95.18 million. This represents the fourth consecutive week of positive flows. Some gold-backed funds have meanwhile reported lower assets under management.

The US-Iran war and market reaction

the Entered the US-Iranian war Its fourth week after the strikes that targeted Iranian military infrastructure. Iran responded by closing the Strait of Hormuz, which intersected nearly 20% of the world’s oil. Energy markets responded very quickly, leading to increased volatility in commodities and stocks.

Stock indices have recorded moderate declines since the start of the conflict. The S&P 500 fell about 1% during that period. The Nasdaq index fell about half a percent.

Diplomatic developments changed sentiment over the weekend. President Donald Trump announced US and Iranian officials held fruitful discussions. He ordered additional strikes against Iran’s energy infrastructure to be halted for five days.

This announcement caused a widespread rise in risks in financial markets. Bitcoin rose to over 70,000 shortly after the announcement. However, gold has not seen a sustained recovery despite the decline in geopolitical tensions.

Could Bitcoin price reach $75,000 amid Trump’s 5-day shutdown?

Resistance levels around $72,000 are being closely watched by technical analysts. A breakout beyond this level will be confirmed and will be able to extend gains to the $75,000 level. Momentum indicators currently indicate that buyers are still active as expected Bitcoin price forecast long term.

Gold vs. Bitcoin: Why is Bitcoin outperforming gold by 23% since the start of the war between the United States and Iran?Gold vs. Bitcoin: Why is Bitcoin outperforming gold by 23% since the start of the war between the United States and Iran?
Source: TradingView

The fact that Bitcoin has performed better than gold during this crisis is a historic move. Bitcoin has finally replaced traditional safe havens, especially in the first major geopolitical conflict.

Whether this trend continues will be determined by liquidity conditions and diplomatic progress. Bitcoin is currently outperforming gold in a volatile global market.





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