XRP is struggling to push above the $1.50 level as the market heats up and buyers search for the momentum needed to break through resistance that has limited the recovery in every last attempt. Price action is frustrating – sideways, unconvincing, and offers little clarity on direction. But one CryptoQuant analyst identified something in the order flow data that reframes the current weakness as far more positive than the chart alone suggests.
The most important signal identified by the analyst is not what is happening, but what is not happening. The aggressive selling pressure, which defined the XRP market structure during the worst of the decline, no longer exists with the same intensity. The receiver’s bid/ask ratio has remained near the 1.0 level for a long time – meaning that the balance between aggressive buyers and aggressive sellers has shifted from clear seller dominance toward something approaching equilibrium, with a slight tilt toward buyer advantage.
This balance is more important than it seems at first glance. A ratio that is consistently below 1.0 during this type of sideways price movement would typically result in a more difficult decline – where sellers are in control. Order flow Without understanding Jupiter tends towards a bearish solution. XRP held the $1.35 to $1.45 range instead, which means something is absorbing the sell-off that could send the price lower.
The analyst’s conclusion is that internalization is real, documented in the flow of the system, and moving toward a specific structural outcome.
Sellers have backed out. Buyers haven’t stepped up yet. This gap is the setting
Cryptoquant analysis It adds a volumetric dimension that completes the image. Both buying volume and selling volume decreased sharply compared to previous months – a simultaneous decline on both sides of the order flow that describes the market at a specific, known stage. The massive selling spurts that characterized January and February are no longer visible. The aggressive fear-driven selling that defined the worst period for XRP has faded to a level that no longer constitutes significant downward pressure.
What has yet to emerge are strong buys that would confirm the next trend move. There is no FOMO. There is no increase in buy orders in the market chasing the price higher. Conditions are calm in both directions, and this is exactly what the accumulation phases look like before they resolve.
The analyst’s probabilistic assessment is based on three converging signals: a recovery of the ratio towards a buyer’s advantage while the price remains stable, the absence of a breakdown despite a decline in overall volume, and a structural fading of selling pressures. Together, they increase the likelihood of a bullish resolution rather than another sharp decline.
The honest caveat that the analysis maintains is that the timing remains uncertain. Strong buying momentum has not entered the market. The current structure is building energy rather than releasing it – whales settling, sellers exhausted, buyers wary. The specific trigger identified by the analyst is for the ratio to hold above 1.0 for several days in a row while buying volume begins to recover.
If this combination develops, the probability of a move towards the $1.50 to $1.60 area increases significantly. Until then, XRP seems more likely to move sideways to the upside rather than experience another sharp decline, which is the more positive objective assessment supported by current data.
XRP stabilizes as selling pressure continues to fade
XRP continues to consolidate near the $1.45 area after months of sustained weakness that followed rejection from 2025 highs above $3.00. The broader structure still reflects a market in recovery mode rather than a confirmed bullish reversal, but the chart is showing important signs that the downside momentum is gradually weakening.
One of the clearest developments is stabilization around the $1.30-1.45 range. Despite repeated attempts to decline during the first quarter of 2026, sellers failed to trigger a sustained breakout below support. This behavior contrasts sharply with the strong downward expansion seen during the decline in late 2025, suggesting that selling pressure is losing steam.
Meanwhile, XRP remains below all major moving averages on the higher time frame. The lower 50 and 100 period moving averages continue to act as overall resistance, reinforcing that the broader trend has not yet turned bullish. Each attempted recovery towards the $1.60-1.90 area has faced renewed selling pressure.
Volume trends also remain relatively weak compared to previous expansion phases. Participation has stabilized, but strong speculative momentum has not yet returned to the market. This combination of weak selling pressure and subdued buying activity usually reflects accumulation rather than trend acceleration.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
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