Bitcoin’s price action has seen it all: five-figure collapses, regulatory crackdowns, stock market crashes, and bear markets that lasted the better part of two years. Through each of these events, there has been one unblemished record: Bitcoin has never closed January, February, and March all in the red during the same calendar year. Not once in the entire history of trading. However, with only a few days left until March 2026, that remains untouched Register now on life support.
The numbers that tell the story
Bitcoin is Heading into the final stage of March With the possibility of losing three consecutive months from the open to a year, a setting that he had never recorded before in his trading history. Quinglass Heat map of monthly returns It displays the situation with uncomfortable precision. It closed January 2026 down 10.17%. February followed with a loss of 14.94%, which also set a record for the first consecutive red February after a 17.39% loss in 2025.
March is now at risk of closing in negative territory, with Bitcoin trading at around $67,750 at the time of writing versus the month’s opening price of $66,970 after the February close. This puts the March month-to-date return at around 0.31%, with one trading day remaining before the monthly candlestick closes.
Bitcoin Monthly Returns (%). Source: Coinglas
Returning to the full historical data set, no year in Bitcoin’s traceable price history (2013 to 2026) has produced three consecutive red monthly closes to open the year. There were years with tough individual months: January 2015 lost 33.05%, January 2018 was down 25.41%, and February 2014 was down 31.03%. However, in each case, at least one of the three opening months recovered to close in the green, but 2026 produced none of that relief.
Potential six months of losing streaks
Bitcoin has been on a Long stretch of monthly red close Since reaching an all-time high in October 2025 above $126,000. This led to five consecutive red lockdowns in February 2025, the second time in its history. Which The record is now in jeopardy It extends to six monthly red closures depending on how March ultimately goes.
The conditions behind this performance are a convergence of pressures that have been steadily escalating over the past six months. Currently, investor sentiment around Bitcoin has eroded to its lowest levels in several years, which it already is Now at its lowest levels Since the 2022 bear market.
Right now, the entire Q1 2026 has a red performance of -22.6%. The performance of the first quarter of 2026 is the weakest opening quarter since 2018, when Bitcoin lost 50.7% of its value between January and March. Damage from the first quarter of that year was more severe in absolute terms, but February rose by 0.47%.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $67,750 with one day left to write the final line of the chapter most investors are trading. I didn’t expect to see Written at the beginning of the year.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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