Prediction markets have spent much of the past year fighting legal battles. This week, the focus shifted elsewhere: governments discussed new regulatory frameworks, trading platforms expanded distribution, and institutional firms continued to build dedicated businesses around the asset class.
Malta wants its own rulebook for prediction markets
Malta is exploring a dedicated regulatory framework For prediction markets that would fall outside of both traditional financial services and gambling law.
Prime Minister Robert Abella pledged to give the Malta Gaming Authority powers to license the sector, while Economy Minister Silvio Schembri said the government was actively developing the proposal.
If adopted, Malta will become the first EU member state to have a dedicated predictive market system.
While the European Securities and Markets Authority has focused on how certain contracts should be classified under financial services law, Malta is exploring whether prediction markets require an entirely separate regulatory category.
Malta followed a similar path in 2018 by introducing a dedicated legal framework for crypto assets before the EU later replaced national regulations with MiCA.
Blockchain.com is adding prediction markets to its brokerage app
Blockchain.com has integrated Polymarket in its brokerage app, allowing users to access prediction markets along with instant cryptocurrency trading from a single interface.
This feature is powered by the Polymarket API and allows users to make trades without leaving the platform. The launch extends a broader distribution trend across the industry.
Instead of relying solely on their own websites, prediction market operators are increasingly reaching users through established trading platforms with existing client bases.
Robinhood I have already entered event contracts through everythingwhile Interactive Brokers offers prediction markets alongside stocks, options and futures.
Jump Trading is building a team for prediction markets
Jump Trading has doubled its team dedicated to prediction markets This year as the company expands into one of the fastest growing event-based trading segments.
According to Bloomberg, the group is hiring outside its traditional pool of quantitative traders, looking for candidates with backgrounds ranging from sports betting to accounting.
Unlike traditional quantitative strategies built on deep historical data sets, many event contracts rely on unique or infrequent outcomes where historical data is limited and market context plays a larger role.
For one of the largest quantitative trading companies in the world, Prediction markets It became large enough to justify building a dedicated commercial capacity.
Week number
$100,000 That’s the amount a White House technical aide allegedly earned by trading Kalshi contracts tied to speeches by President Donald Trump, according to an ABC News report.
The employee, who was running Trump’s teleprompter, allegedly bet on whether specific words or topics would appear in more than a dozen speeches over a three-month period.
Calci said it detected the activity through its monitoring systems and referred the trades to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
The longtime operator of President Donald Trump’s teleprompter is under investigation by federal regulators in connection with bets they allegedly made on the prediction market platform Kalchi in connection with statements made by Trump. The operator allegedly made profits of more than $90,000… pic.twitter.com/Trv7pxCpby
– CNBC (@CNBC) July 16, 2026
Bottom line
Malta’s proposal still needs formal legislative text, Jump Trading’s recruitment drive is still ongoing, and the Blockchain.com integration is days away. None of these stories are finished.
Whether Malta becomes the first EU country to have an independent prediction market framework – and whether other member states will follow before the Securities and Markets Authority sets its own rules – is something to watch.
This article was written by Tanya Chipkova at www.financemagnates.com.
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