Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, said he expects Bitcoin to reach $125,000 before the end of the year. He made the prediction when he gave a speech at Bitcoin Las Vegas 2026. Hayes described an optimistic picture for the market.
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by the end of the year?
In his presentation, Hayes explained that the world is changing in favor of Bitcoin in terms of liquidity. He attributed this position to the increase in defense spending in major economies during the war. Hayes says that increasing government spending usually requires an additional money supply.
He said that upward fiscal pressure may force policymakers to lean towards a more flexible fiscal stance. Such a climate generally favors risky assets, such as cryptocurrencies. Hayes stressed that liquidity is the main driver of Bitcoin price dynamics in the long term.
Live broadcast of my next speech “in twenty-one weeks”https://t.co/hU2XZdB1S1
– Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) April 27, 2026
The former stock exchange CEO also mentioned potential regulatory reforms in the US banking system. He stated that banks are likely to bear more increasing government debt in the near future. These structural solutions would pump more liquidity into financial markets.
Another factor cited by Hayes is changes in leadership at Federal Reserve. He pointed out that the direction of monetary policy could take a new direction. Another aspect in the broader economic context includes AI-driven credit deflation.
In response to geopolitical tensions, Hayes mentioned the current war between the United States and Iran. He recognized the risks, but claimed that the markets had not entered a fully defensive phase. He said investors remain concerned about macroeconomic liquidity trends.
According to Axios, President Trump rejected the Iranian offer to close the site Strait of Hormuz The United States has developed a plan to attack Iran with a short and intense wave of strikes.
Hayes explained that Bitcoin’s recent price movement has been volatile but within a range. He feels that this period of consolidation will soon be replaced by a faster rise. Hayes confirmed that he has long positions in Bitcoin. He said that if there is significant liquidity as expected, Bitcoin could reach $125,000 in December.
BREAKING: President Trump has “rejected” Iran’s proposal to open the Strait of Hormuz, and the US has prepared a plan for a “short and powerful” wave of strikes on Iran, according to Axios.
Details include:
1. Trump says he will keep Iran under a naval blockade until they agree…
– Al Qubaisi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 29, 2026
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
As of the report, Bitcoin price It was at $75,820 in the last four hours. Bitcoin price recorded a small upward movement as it remained within a well-defined consolidation zone.
The high was at $76,055 and the low was around $75,708 and the volatility was contained. Price action remains below the $78,000 resistance area that has limited attempts to move higher in recent days. Momentum indicators indicate that the power of short-term bulls is gradually declining.
The MACD indicator is still in the negative zone, and the signal lines are decreasing and becoming somewhat wider. The Relative Strength Index stands at a region near 40. This reading shows neutral conditions with a slight bias towards moderate oversold pressure.
Provided that Bitcoin future predictions Successfully rebounding from the sustained breakout above $78,000, momentum is likely to rise to $80,000. A strong close past this barrier could mark the way to the $82,000 resistance area.
On the other hand, the inability to protect the $74,000 level may welcome fresh selling. A failure below $73,000 could expose the psychological support level of $70,000.
