One cryptocurrency analyst has predicted how far the price of Bitcoin (BTC) will fall during this market cycle, and shared a timeline for a potential price bottom. The expert based his bearish forecast on Bitcoin’s 400-day cycle, a recurring pattern that has consistently appeared across multiple phases of the market. Based on this historical trend, I suggest that BTC could still face further decline In its current bear market before any long-term recovery phase begins.
The analyst says that the final cycle for Bitcoin will be in October
Cryptocurrency market analyst Bee provided a specific timeline for the end The current Bitcoin bear market Based on strict historical market trends. Analyze it, subscriber On
Based on this framework, Bitcoin is now 252 days into a cyclical bearish phase that historically lasts between 364 and 400 days. This suggests that the leading cryptocurrency market still faces an additional 112 to 148 days of intense downward pressure before then. The real recovery can begin.
And based on the timeline of this historical setting, Bee appreciates that Absolute lowest BTC price for this cycle That could be as soon as October 2026. His calculations, shown in the accompanying chart, suggest that Bitcoin could fall to as low as $30,000 by the first week of the month. This represents a decline of more than 75% from the current level All-time highs near $126,000indicating a potential floor before the next recovery.
Notably, Bee stated that a historical bear market lasting 400 days is typically followed by a bull run that lasts about 1,064 days. This suggests that once the final cycle bottom is reached, the market could reset itself, setting the stage for it New bull market.
The analyst also warned that many investors may argue that the current market differs from past market trends because… Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)Or institutional participation or big players like BlackRock, the world’s largest Bitcoin ETF provider. However, Pei responded, noting that each previous cycle had its own reasons for being “different,” and yet the 400-day historical pattern persisted.
He stressed that this repetitive structure had continued without a single deviation for more than a decade. The analyst also noted that the structure has consistently held up through changing narratives and broader market developments, so there is no reason to believe the current cycle will be any different.
The expert predicts the next bottom and rejects $100,000 worth of Bitcoin in 2026
In a separate but similarly bearish post, cryptocurrency analyst Ted Bellows said expected Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom Timeline. Bellows noted that it took about 10 months for Bitcoin to bottom out month after month A bearish Moving Average Convergence Convergence (MACD) crossover Appeared in 2022.
He noted that if a similar trend occurs again, he expects Bitcoin to reach its final minimum price either by the end of the third quarter (Q3) of 2026 or the beginning of the fourth quarter (Q4). His chart indicated a potential downside target of between $30,000 and $40,000. Meanwhile, the analyst squashed hopes for a longer-term rebound this year, predicting that Bullish return towards $100,000 Very unlikely in 2026.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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