BTC USD Price Drops Below $80K as Tensions Rise in Taiwan


The BTC USD price fell to $79,200, down 2.3% over 24 hours, after Chinese President Xi Jinping warned Donald Trump of a possible “collision or even clashes” over Taiwan during their summit in Beijing, the first visit to China by a sitting US president in nearly a decade.

The move broke Bitcoin’s $80,000 floor that had held for much of last week and arrived on top of two successive episodes of bullish inflation that have significantly complicated the Fed’s path to lower interest rates.


The analytical question is no longer whether Bitcoin can recover $82,000; Rather, it is whether the $78,000 will hold up if the second day of the summit causes another geopolitical shock.

Spot bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $630 million on Wednesday alone, the largest single-day withdrawal since late January, bringing the five-session total to about $1.26 billion. This range of institutional recovery, operating in conjunction with an actively hostile macro bar to risk assets, is the context that frames each support level discussed below.

BTC USD price drops below $80,000 as new tensions emerge between the US and China regarding Taiwan

(Source: Coinglass)

BTC USD price drops to $79,200 due to Xi’s warning on Taiwan

The transmission mechanism is influenced by sovereign risk appetite rather than specific cryptocurrency flows. State media reported that Xi Jinping warned of possible “clashes” over Taiwan ahead of the bilateral meeting, which led to destabilization of Asian stock markets. The MSCI Asia-Pacific index reversed a 0.8% gain to close 0.1% lower, while mainland Chinese shares fell 1.3% after reaching their highest level since 2021.

These stock fluctuations have impacted cryptocurrencies, which have maintained a high correlation with risk assets recently. Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its 200-day moving average near $82,000, and previous breakdowns suggest that this level is influencing sentiment rather than acting solely as technical support.

Inflation data made matters worse, with the Producer Price Index beating expectations at 1.4% month-on-month, after Tuesday’s CPI reading of 3.8%, the highest in nearly three years. These inflationary surprises weaken the structural case for buyers, noted Kirill Kretov of CoinPanel, who commented on the politically charged environment as headlines quickly change sentiment.

Meanwhile, Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.2%, and Asian technology stocks rose 2.3%, supported by a 20% rise in Cisco shares after hours. However, the divergence between the strength of tech stocks and the weakness of cryptocurrencies highlights that the current BTC USD price struggles are rooted in macro and geopolitical factors, rather than a general shift away from growth assets.

Can Bitcoin hold $78,000 after breaking the $80,000 threshold?

Bitcoin price heading into the Asian session on Thursday faces challenges, trading at around $79,200 after falling below $80,000. The 200-day moving average is approaching $82,000, a level that Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim.

Immediate support was found at $78,000, the lowest level recorded in early May, with further support in the capitulation zone in late April. The RSI indicates room for further decline, while the MACD shows increasing selling pressure.

A large influx of ETFs worth $635 million is complicating the situation, making it more difficult to maintain support levels. A successful close above $79,000 would support bullish sentiment ahead of Trump-Xi talks and macro data releases.

Taurus condition: The less confrontational joint statement on Taiwan boosts risk appetite, helping Bitcoin recover $80,000 and target $85,000.

Basic case: The BTC USD price is trading between $78,000 and $80,000 as the market awaits developments on geopolitical issues and inflation.

bear case: Hardening top headlines or higher than expected inflation could push the price above $80,000, triggering a retest of the $81,500-$83,000 range.

Solana at $90: Major losses but fundamentals holding up

Solana fell -4% to $90.5, the largest decline among major assets in the group and a move that gave back most of the weekly gains that made SOL the standout altcoin over the previous two weeks.

Latest analysis of Solana’s price structure It identified the $90-$92 area as a critical demand area; Trading in this range with high volume is the short-term test the network now faces.

The difference between price and on-chain activity is noticeable. Network fees have risen nearly 81% over the past week to roughly $4.2 million per day, with transaction volume reaching nearly $45 million per day, metrics driven by continued memecoin activity on platforms like Pump.fun.

This fundamental strength does not prevent the price from following the price of Bitcoin lower in a risk-off macro environment, but it does suggest that the selling is driven from the outside and not a reflection of the deteriorating health of the network.

Immediate resistance for SOL is near $94-$95, where the asset was trading before the session decline. A recovery above this level would indicate that the move was an overall flow rather than a trend reversal. Failure to hold the $88 level on a closing basis will indicate a continued correction, with the next important support near $84.

The remainder of the Trump-Xi summit, and whatever common language emerges on Taiwan and trade, will likely determine whether Thursday’s Asian session marks a bottom or the beginning of a deeper correction across both Bitcoin and altcoins.

Traders should also note that the expiration of Bitcoin CME derivatives on Friday may generate short-term volatility in the $78,000-$80,000 range regardless of the overall trend.

Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is committed to providing unbiased and transparent reporting. This article aims to provide accurate and timely information but should not be considered financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change rapidly, we encourage you to verify the information yourself and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content.

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Daniel Francis

Daniel Francis is a technical writer and Web3 educator specializing in macroeconomics and DeFi mechanics. A crypto native since 2017, Daniel brings his background in cross-chain analytics to author evidence-based reports and detailed guides. It is certified by the Blockchain Council and is dedicated to providing “information gain” that cuts through the market noise to find blockchain’s real-world utility.






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