Orange shares jump 4% as growth in Africa strengthens for the first half of the year and guidance increases


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TLDR

  • Orange stock rose more than 3% after beating first-half earnings expectations on revenue and EBITDA.
  • Africa and the Middle East achieved record growth, with second-quarter revenues rising 15% year-on-year in the region
  • Raised full-year EBITDA guidance to growth above 4%; The organic cash flow target has been raised to approximately €4.3 billion
  • Net income was €3.6 billion, supported by a gain of €2.4 billion from the MasOrange consolidation
  • Orange has signed a memorandum of understanding to jointly acquire SFR alongside Bouygues Telecom and Free

Orange SA shares rose more than 3% on Monday, touching an intraday high of €17.19 in Paris, after the French telecoms group posted first-half results that beat analysts’ expectations and raised its full-year forecast for the second time in 2026.


Orange stock card
Orange SA, Ren

First-half revenue was €20.95 billion versus consensus estimates of €20.76 billion. EBITDA of €6.13 billion also beat the average estimate of €6.11 billion.

The stock briefly beat Morgan Stanley’s price target of €16.50. The bank maintained its “equal weight” rating, noting that “the strength of the Middle East region and increased guidance” exceeds the weakness in Spain.

Africa and the Middle East were the obvious standouts. Revenues in the region jumped 13.9% during the first half, with the second quarter alone rising 15% year-on-year. The region added 10 million new mobile data customers.

Orange now expects full-year EBITDA growth of more than 4%, compared to the previous forecast of more than 3%. Organic cash flow guidance was raised 7.5% to around €4.3 billion – a figure the company says is 4.2% above its consensus.


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European moves

France posted a modest win, with second-quarter revenues up 0.1% vs Morgan Stanley 1% decline forecast The bank noted that underlying growth in the first half, excluding one-time wholesale effects, was flat and below the company’s full-year target.

Spain was the weak point. MasOrange’s service revenue fell 2% and first-half EBITDA fell 3%. Orange completed the acquisition of Lorca’s 50% stake in MasOrange in June for €4.25 billion, giving it full control of the Spanish operator. The company expects performance to improve in the second half.

Net income reached 3.6 billion euros for the half, a jump of 3.7 billion euros year-on-year. This figure was significantly inflated by the €2.4 billion accounting gain from the consolidation of MasOrange and the reversal of restructuring charges in the previous year. Adjusted net income increased by 11.8% to 1.35 billion euros.

Net financial debt rose to €35.7 billion from €22.5 billion at the end of 2025, mainly reflecting the MasOrange deal. The ratio of net debt to EBITDA rose to 2.4 times. Orange has a medium-term target to get that back to around 2x.

SFR deal in progress

On June 6, Orange announced that it had signed a memorandum of understanding with Bouygues Telecom and Free to acquire SFR from Altice France. Orange’s share of the total enterprise value of €20.35 billion is about 27%, or about €5.6 billion.

The deal will add approximately 4 million mobile customers and 1 million fixed broadband customers in France. Regulatory approval is required, and is not expected to be completed before the second half of 2027 at the earliest.

Orange also announced a joint venture with Morrison to develop data centers in France, targeting a capacity of 400 megawatts, supported by a 3 billion euro investment plan.

The company set a 2026 dividend of 0.79 euros per share, to be paid in 2027, subject to shareholder approval.


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