“Prediction markets are a vital source of information for our clients,” says IBKR founder


Interactive Brokers is recasting prediction markets as a source of actionable intelligence rather than a speculative product, as the company expands access to multiple venues and targets sophisticated investors looking for signals.

talking to CNBCFounder and Chairman Thomas Peterffy rejected the idea that the broker’s recent expansion into this space reflects pressure from platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Instead, he said the industry often misreads the purpose of these markets.

“The Fundamental Importance of Prediction Markets Early It is a source of vital information for our clients. Our clients should know how the economy is developing in different regions, consumer demographics and industries around the world.

Clients rely on prediction markets to understand how economic conditions will evolve across regions and sectors, Peterffy said. He described data as a way to anticipate demand shifts and align investment decisions accordingly.

Related to: Interactive Brokers UK profits rise 150% to £34m as client count surpasses 86,000

He added that prediction markets turn expectations into measurable probabilities. This structure allows investors to interpret future scenarios more clearly than traditional indices.

Interactive Brokers is integrating prediction markets into its existing infrastructure through aggregation Liquidity

Liquidity

The term liquidity refers to the process, speed and ease with which a particular asset or security can be converted into cash. It is worth noting that liquidity assumes maintenance of the market price, where the most liquid assets represent cash. The most liquid asset of all is cash itself. · In economics, liquidity is defined by how efficiently and quickly an asset is converted into usable cash without appreciably affecting its market price. · Nothing is more liquid than cash, while representing other assets

The term liquidity refers to the process, speed and ease with which a particular asset or security can be converted into cash. It is worth noting that liquidity assumes maintenance of the market price, where the most liquid assets represent cash. The most liquid asset of all is cash itself. · In economics, liquidity is defined by how efficiently and quickly an asset is converted into usable cash without appreciably affecting its market price. · Nothing is more liquid than cash, while representing other assets
Read this term
From multiple places. The company is already integrating pricing data across Stocks

Stocks

Stocks can be described as shares or shares in a company that investors can buy or sell. When you buy a stock, you are essentially buying a stock and becoming a part owner of shares in a particular company or fund. However, stocks do not pay a fixed interest rate and are therefore not considered guaranteed income. As such, stock markets are often associated with risk. When a company issues bonds, it obtains loans from buyers. On the other hand, when a company offers shares, it sells shares

Stocks can be described as shares or shares in a company that investors can buy or sell. When you buy a stock, you are essentially buying a stock and becoming a part owner of shares in a particular company or fund. However, stocks do not pay a fixed interest rate and are therefore not considered guaranteed income. As such, stock markets are often associated with risk. When a company issues bonds, it obtains loans from buyers. On the other hand, when a company offers shares, it sells shares
Read this term
And options markets. This approach suggests that brokers may compete for access and pricing rather than operating independent prediction markets.

Building a market complex

“We currently aggregate information from all stock and options exchanges and make it available for a consolidated quote to our clients. We do the same for prediction markets and other platforms will likely try to do the same.”

However, IBKR takes a selective approach to the types of contracts it offers. The platform excludes sports-related markets and focuses on events of economic importance.

Instead, the broker gives priority to instruments linked to economic indicators, elections and climate developments. This positioning is in line with its focus on professional and enterprise clients.

In fact, last week, Interactive Brokers Introducing a unified event trading feature that can be accessed through packages To Kalshi, CME Group and ForecastEx in one interface. The system aggregates contracts across venues and routes orders to the best available prices, eliminating the need for multiple accounts and positioning the broker as an access layer rather than an independent prediction market operator.

Transform prediction markets into standardized data

This version supports Peterffy’s broader argument that prediction markets function as an information tool. By unifying contracts linked to elections, economic indicators and weather events, the platform allows clients to interpret probabilistic signals across markets in one place.

Milan Galic, CEO, Interactive Brokers, Source: IBKR

“Prediction markets are reshaping how investors think about risk and uncertainty,” said Milan Galic, CEO of Interactive Brokers. He said the company wants to give clients access to multiple places through one platform, just like how they trade traditional assets today.

At the same time, Tradeweb has taken an institutional approach to forecasting the markets through Partnering with Calci and obtaining a minority stake. FOREX.com, through its parent company StoneX, has chosen a narrower model by partnering with Kalshi to provide clients with access to US election event contracts.

Interactive Brokers is recasting prediction markets as a source of actionable intelligence rather than a speculative product, as the company expands access to multiple venues and targets sophisticated investors looking for signals.

talking to CNBCFounder and Chairman Thomas Peterffy rejected the idea that the broker’s recent expansion into this space reflects pressure from platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Instead, he said the industry often misreads the purpose of these markets.

“The Fundamental Importance of Prediction Markets Early It is a source of vital information for our clients. Our clients should know how the economy is developing in different regions, consumer demographics and industries around the world.

Clients rely on prediction markets to understand how economic conditions will evolve across regions and sectors, Peterffy said. He described data as a way to anticipate demand shifts and align investment decisions accordingly.

Related to: Interactive Brokers UK profits rise 150% to £34m as client count surpasses 86,000

He added that prediction markets turn expectations into measurable probabilities. This structure allows investors to interpret future scenarios more clearly than traditional indices.

Interactive Brokers is integrating prediction markets into its existing infrastructure through aggregation Liquidity

Liquidity

The term liquidity refers to the process, speed and ease with which a particular asset or security can be converted into cash. It is worth noting that liquidity assumes maintenance of the market price, where the most liquid assets represent cash. The most liquid asset of all is cash itself. · In economics, liquidity is defined by how efficiently and quickly an asset is converted into usable cash without appreciably affecting its market price. · Nothing is more liquid than cash, while representing other assets

The term liquidity refers to the process, speed and ease with which a particular asset or security can be converted into cash. It is worth noting that liquidity assumes maintenance of the market price, where the most liquid assets represent cash. The most liquid asset of all is cash itself. · In economics, liquidity is defined by how efficiently and quickly an asset is converted into usable cash without appreciably affecting its market price. · Nothing is more liquid than cash, while representing other assets
Read this term
From multiple places. The company is already integrating pricing data across Stocks

Stocks

Stocks can be described as shares or shares in a company that investors can buy or sell. When you buy a stock, you are essentially buying a stock and becoming a part owner of shares in a particular company or fund. However, stocks do not pay a fixed interest rate and are therefore not considered guaranteed income. As such, stock markets are often associated with risk. When a company issues bonds, it obtains loans from buyers. On the other hand, when a company offers shares, it sells shares

Stocks can be described as shares or shares in a company that investors can buy or sell. When you buy a stock, you are essentially buying a stock and becoming a part owner of shares in a particular company or fund. However, stocks do not pay a fixed interest rate and are therefore not considered guaranteed income. As such, stock markets are often associated with risk. When a company issues bonds, it obtains loans from buyers. On the other hand, when a company offers shares, it sells shares
Read this term
And options markets. This approach suggests that brokers may compete for access and pricing rather than operating independent prediction markets.

Building a market complex

“We currently aggregate information from all stock and options exchanges and make it available for a consolidated quote to our clients. We do the same for prediction markets and other platforms will likely try to do the same.”

However, IBKR takes a selective approach to the types of contracts it offers. The platform excludes sports-related markets and focuses on events of economic importance.

Instead, the broker gives priority to instruments linked to economic indicators, elections and climate developments. This positioning is in line with its focus on professional and enterprise clients.

In fact, last week, Interactive Brokers Introducing a unified event trading feature that can be accessed through packages To Kalshi, CME Group and ForecastEx in one interface. The system aggregates contracts across venues and routes orders to the best available prices, eliminating the need for multiple accounts and positioning the broker as an access layer rather than an independent prediction market operator.

Transform prediction markets into standardized data

This version supports Peterffy’s broader argument that prediction markets function as an information tool. By unifying contracts linked to elections, economic indicators and weather events, the platform allows clients to interpret probabilistic signals across markets in one place.

Milan Galic, CEO, Interactive Brokers, Source: IBKR

“Prediction markets are reshaping how investors think about risk and uncertainty,” said Milan Galic, CEO of Interactive Brokers. He said the company wants to give clients access to multiple places through one platform, just like how they trade traditional assets today.

At the same time, Tradeweb has taken an institutional approach to forecasting the markets through Partnering with Calci and obtaining a minority stake. FOREX.com, through its parent company StoneX, has chosen a narrower model by partnering with Kalshi to provide clients with access to US election event contracts.





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